Welcome Guest! You are here: Home » Science & Technology
Monsoon could arrive in Kerala in four days: IMD
Friday May 31, 2013 12:31 PM, EFE

Kerala witnessed showers Friday. The first showers here at the end of May signal that it is time for the onset of the southwest monsoon, which the IMD forecast Friday could arrive in the state in three to four days.

The director of the India Meterological Department (IMD) here, K. Santhosh, told IANS that conditions for the onset of the monsoon are now favourable.

"This is all I can say now, as the analysis is going on," Santhosh said.

The southwest monsoon normally sets in over Kerala around June 1, and advances northwards, usually in surges, covering the entire country by mid-July.

From 2005 onwards, the IMD has been issuing operational forecasts for the monsoon's onset over Kerala using an indigenously developed statistical model with a model error of four days.

The forecasts of the monsoon in the past eight years - 2005 to 2012 - have been on the dot.

In 2012, the monsoon arrived June 5; in 2005, it arrived only on June 7; in 2009, it came rather early, on May 23.

According to guidelines laid down for the purpose, the monsoon's onset is declared depending on certain weather conditions, including an analysis of the situation as read from 14 different weather stations in the Lakshadweep, Kerala and Mangalore.

IMD officials monitor the rain starting May 10. If 60 percent of the stations or more record 2.5 mm of rain for two continuous days, then criteria for declaring that the monsoon has arrived are said to have been met. Wind strength is also measured as part of this exercise.

The IMD has forecast a normal monsoon this year.


 


 

Share this page
 Comments
Note: By posting your comments here you agree to the terms and conditions of www.ummid.com
comments powered by Disqus
Advertisement
| Quick links
About ummid.com
Contact us
Feedback
Subscribe to: RSS » Facebook » Twitter » Newsletter
Ummid.com: Disclaimer | Terms of Use | Advertise with us | Link Exchange
Ummid.com is part of the Awaz Multimedia & Publications providing World News, News Analysis and Feature Articles on Education, Health. Politics, Technology, Sports, Entertainment, Industry etc. The articles or the views displayed on this website are for public information and in no way describe the editorial views. The users are entitled to use this site subject to the terms and conditions mentioned.
© 2012 Awaz Multimedia & Publications. All rights reserved.