Ummid Assistant

Samsung sets up fund for poor kids' education

US varsity offers doctorate for education professionals

Welcome Guest! You are here: Home » Views & Analysis

India's missile test is not bad news for the world

Sunday April 22, 2012 10:06:32 AM, Dmitry Kosyrev, IANS

Related Articles

India creates history, tests 5,000 km Agni-V missile

India Thursday created history with the successful testing of the much awaited Agni-V long-range ballistic nuclear-capable missile, described as 'China killer', that   »

PM hails Agni-V milestone

India no rival, says China as daily slams 'missile delusion'

Perusing the front pages of Delhi newspapers, one gets the impression that the launch of the Agni-V intercontinental missile with a striking range of 5,000 km by India was a prominent but by no means sensational event even for Indians. There have been no overly emotional responses to it outside India either. One can't help drawing a parallel between this calm reaction and the media frenzy surrounding the failed launch of a ballistic missile by North Korea just a week ago. And when something of the kind happens in Iran, the reaction is even stronger.

Former US president Ronald Reagan once commented on the right to bear arms in America with the memorable phrase, "Guns don't kill people. People kill people." The international games surrounding nuclear weapons and their delivery vehicles illustrate the point nicely.

On May 11, 1998, India held underground nuclear tests in an attempt to outdo Pakistan, which also planned (and successfully conducted) such tests a few days later. And with that two more nuclear powers were born. Like many other countries, Russia condemned the new nuclear powers for ignoring the universally accepted ban on expanding the nuclear club. Back then, many commentators, observing Russia's harsh reaction to these developments, rightly noted that no one feared France's nuclear arsenal, because France is a country that gave the world Dumas, Moliere, cheese and wine. It simply has no reason to use its nuclear weapons against Russia or any other country for that matter.

The same reasoning was applied to India: Our friend has become stronger, so it is good news not bad.

This is also why Moscow, Beijing and Tokyo react differently to missile tests in North Korea. The first two countries don't want any trouble just because the Japanese and Americans are afraid of the North Koreans. However, Pyongyang is very unlikely to fire a missile at China or Russia.

In other words, the intentions and interests of superpowers are more important in strategic planning than their capabilities. What are the intentions of Russia's friend India, which has increased the striking range of its nuclear arms delivery vehicles?

The most obvious answer is that this is bad news primarily for China, which is, by the way, Russia's friend, too. Indeed, there's no reason for India to aim its nuclear weapons against Africa or the United States, all the more so since Agni can't reach U.S. shores anyway. However, all of China's territory is now within reach.

For several years now, various political forces in India have been saying officially (and especially in private) that Indians aren't dumb enough to turn their country into a missile base against China just because, for example, the US wants it to be this way. Both major Indian parties agree on that.

Pakistan, whose government is either unwilling or unable to control the jihadist groups residing on its territory, remains India's primary threat. Pakistan's nuclear arsenal is not the only concern here. The philosophy underlying the establishment of Pakistan as a Muslim alternative to Hindu India is another major consideration. It's not clear what this nation will become without this idea, and whether Pakistan will remain a nation without it.

This is not all there is to it. Jihadism is not only about Pakistan. Let's not forget that in addition to nuclear tests in 1998, India stepped up its political involvement in the Middle East and became very close with Israel. Today, with the Gulf monarchies successfully promoting the jihad philosophy across all Arab nations, such as Tunisia, Egypt and Libya to name a few, it has become clear that India's policy was quite reasonable and the expansion of its missile range won't hurt either.

Next comes Iran. The Indian opposition strongly criticises its current government for its incoherent policy towards Iran. However, the real threat to India doesn't come from Iran. Hypothetically, if the US or the Gulf monarchies manage to sow the seeds of chaos in Iran as well, then, in the worst case scenario, extremist regimes will spring up from neighbouring Pakistan westward all the way to the shores of the Atlantic.

This is something that China would like to avoid as well because it has more shared strategic interests with India than with its old friend Pakistan.

It is assumed that India's failed war against China in 1962 and the loss of an uninhabited glacier in the Himalayas are a major problem that makes these two key international partners of Russia bitter enemies. If this were the case, then the launch of the Agni would spell real drama for Russian foreign policy.

Let's keep in mind that Russia is India's key partner in the area of armaments. This month Russia supplied to India the nuclear submarine Nerpa aka Chakra on a long-term lease. By late 2012, India will at long last receive the aircraft carrier Admiral Gorshkov aka Vikramaditya. There's a whole list of armaments that Russia is either selling to India or designing together with India. If Beijing viewed India similar to the way Japan looks upon North Korea... And if India saw China - which, by the way, became Delhi's first trading partner - as a source of permanent threat...

Things are different in reality, though. The foreign ministers of Russia, India and China (RIC) met this month. As it turns out, the original triangle of this group exists as a separate entity despite its expansion to include Brazil and South Africa (BRICS). And the three have more and more reasons for private meetings. Among other things, an important topic for discussion is coordinating efforts in Afghanistan once the US and NATO forces withdraw. The problem is that the spread of jihad policies in Afghanistan represents a direct threat to northwestern China. As a result, Beijing and Delhi now have more reasons for rapprochement and Moscow has long been a willing intermediary.

As for nuclear arsenals and their delivery vehicles, even with an enhanced strike range, they do not interfere with such efforts. On the contrary, they are a source of calm for the partners in their complicated relations with each other.



Dmitry Kosyrev is RIA Novosti's political commentator. The views expressed are the author's and may not necessarily represent those of RIA Novosti



 


 




 

 

 

Home | Top of the Page

Comments

Note: By posting your comments here you agree to the terms and conditions of www.ummid.com

Comments powered by DISQUS

i

i

 

 

 

Top Stories

No witch hunt, PM assures civil servants

Asking civil servants to take bold decisions, Prime Minister Manmohan Singh Saturday said the government would not indulge in "witch hunting" against them in the name of fighting corruption.  »

Policy paralysis? Govt, Opp fight over economic advisor's remarks

Comment on reforms not linked to 2014 election: Kaushik Basu

 

  Most Read

Maoists abduct Chhattisgarh collector

Maoist rebels Saturday abducted the Sukma district collector in Chhattisgarh and shot dead his two guards who tried to resist them, police said. Alex Paul Menon, 32, an Indian Administrative Service  »

Indian Muslims cautioned to remain vigilant to safeguard Islamic Sharia

The above views were expressed by Maulana Syed Mohammad Rabey Hasani Nadvi, president of All India Muslim Personal Board, (AIMPLB), while delivering his presidential speech in the three-day 22nd convention of AIMPLB here at Hajj House on Saturday. Over 400 delegates from  »

 

  News Pick

Mamata gives Centre 15-day ultimatum on tax moratorium

Reiterating her demand for an interest moratorium for the cash-strapped West Bengal government, Chief Minister Mamata Banerjee Saturday gave the central government a 15-day ultimatum and warned that its "indifferent attitude" could become a "big issue". "We have not enough income  »

Sudan against holding talks with Juba over oil

Sudanese President Omar al-Bashir has vowed neither to hold any talks with South Sudan over the oil issue nor allow the latter to transport oil through Sudanese territory, media reported Saturday. "We will no longer allow South Sudan's  »

Montek to push for declaring tea as India's national drink

Deputy Chairman of the Planning Commission Montek Singh Ahluwalia Saturday assured the tea planters in Assam that he will take up the issue of  »

 

Picture of the Day

India successfully flight-tested the Long Range Ballistic Missile (LRBM) Agni-V (A-5) from wheeler’s island, in Odisha on April 19, 2012. With the launch, India stormed into an exclusive club of nations, including US, Russia and China.

(Photo: DPR (MOD))

 

 
 
 
 
 
 
 

RSS  |  Contact us

 

| Quick links

News

 

Subscribe to

Ummid Assistant

 

National

Science & Technology

RSS

Scholarships

About us

International

Health

Twitter

Government Schemes

Feedback

Regional

History

Facebook

Education

Register

Politics

Opinion

Newsletter

Contact us

Business

Career

Education

     

 

 

Ummid.com: Disclaimer | Terms of Use | Advertise with us | Link Exchange

Ummid.com is part of the Awaz Multimedia & Publications providing World News, News Analysis and Feature Articles on Education, Health. Politics, Technology, Sports, Entertainment, Industry etc. The articles or the views displayed on this website are for public information and in no way describe the editorial views. The users are entitled to use this site subject to the terms and conditions mentioned.

© 2010 Awaz Multimedia & Publications. All rights reserved.