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New Delhi: Gujarat
Chief Minister Narendra Modi is all set to lead the state for the
third successive term, with an increased number of seats, says the
opinion poll conducted by ABP News and AC Nielsen in October.
The opinion poll conducted all over Gujarat has projected 124
seats for the BJP, seven more than the 117 it won in the 2007
assembly election.
While the opinion poll brings cheers to the BJP and its supremo in
Gujarat, Narendra Modi, it scales down the share of Congress seats
to just 51. That is eight short of the 59 seats the party won in
the last assembly elections.
The opinion poll was conducted across 91 assembly constituencies
in October.
Among the respondents were 16,384 common voters, while 910 opinion
leaders were also interviewed.
The complete field work was carried out in the Oct 16-29, 2012,
period.
While the BJP would get more seats, its share of votes would go
down compared to 2007 assembly elections when the party had polled
49.12 percent votes. This time, the BJP would get 47 percent
votes, the opinion poll has projected.
Though the Congress is projected as getting lighter by eight
seats, its vote share would remain at 38 percent as before.
The opinion poll paints a grim picture for former Gujarat chief
minister Keshubhai Patel, giving him just three seats.
Keshubhai Patel had resigned from the BJP and floated his Gujarat
Parivartan Party. He is projected as the face of the Patel
community in the state.
Independents and others are likely to get four seats, including
two to the Nationalist Congress Party (NCP).
Regionwise, the opinion poll has forecast the BJP getting 39 seats
out of the 54 seats in Saurashtra-Kutch with the Congress securing
only 11 seats.
In central Gujarat, which has 40 seats, the opinion poll says the
BJP is expected to walk away with 20 while Congress would win 18.
Similarly, the opinion poll has projected the BJP getting 39 out
of the 53 seats in north Gujarat and the Congress 14. The opinion
poll predicts the BJP is sweeping south Gujarat, winning 26 of the
35 seats there, while Congress would get only 8.
The opinion poll says that even after ten years being at the helm
of the affairs in Gujarat, Modi continues to hold sway: 53 percent
respondents said he should shift from the state to the national
politics.
Modi's strong footing in urban Gujarat was evident in the opinion
poll with 62 percent respondents in urban areas feeling that he
should take to the centre and lead the BJP in the 2014 elections
to the Lok Sabha.
The opinion poll says that there is no support for civil society
activist Anna Hazare and Arvind Kejriwal - just 19 percent and 15
percent respondents respectively saying they would vote against
parties of these anti-corruption crusaders.
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