With very little or no chances of Sheikh Hasina returning back to power, the Awami League is now pinning hopes on Donald Trump.
Sheikh Hasina's supporters have even started warning those backing the Yunus administration that they will soon face the consequences.
However, Bangladesh doesn't enjoy a spot in the US priority list which could produce a sudden policy shift.
Most Awami League leaders, sympathizers, sycophants, cheerleaders, and partisan journalists who fled abroad or kept a low profile are upbeat about the US presidential election.
It would surprise many what and why an election held in another continent has to do with Bangladesh or who will be the winner – the Democrats or the Republicans!
Republicans have no stake in Bangladesh. But the Democrats, indeed, have some in the interim government and especially a very friendly relationship with Nobel laureate Dr Muhammad Yunus.
The Biden administration was able to take over some offshore oil and gas exploration in the Bay of Bengal after the Yunus administration took charge of the “Naya Sarkar” (new government).
Yunus’ journey with the Democrats began when Hillary Clinton met him through his former American wife in the United States. Both, Bill Clinton and Hillary, were spellbound to hear the microcredit program of Yunus for the poor. He was convinced that the poor could be trusted for repayment of cash loans. Yunus affirmed the Clintons that “they [the poor] are good borrowers”.
When Clinton became Arkansas governor for the second time, banks for the poor were launched and proved successful with jobless Black communities in certain areas. Now there are hundreds of organizations in the United States, which extend microcredit to the poor, thus benefitting millions of them.
Since then, Yunus has become a ‘blue-eyed boy’ of the Democrats. He was ordained with the Presidential Medal of Freedom by President Barack Obama. Later, he was awarded the prestigious Congressional Gold Medal.
On Friday (Nov 1), US presidential candidate Donald Trump in a post shared on X wrote:
“I strongly condemn the barbaric violence against Hindus, Christians, and other minorities who are getting attacked and looted by mobs in Bangladesh, which remains in a total state of chaos.”
He reiterated that the Republicans will “protect Hindu Americans against the anti-religion agenda of the radical left” and “we will also strengthen our great partnership with India and my good friend, Prime Minister Modi”.
This message squarely embarrassed the Yunus administration.
Soon after a series of violent incidents, he swung into action which reduced the racial tension between the radicalized Muslims and the Hindus. The Hindu community leaders in collaboration with the civil and police administration have successfully held the largest Durga Puja festival all over the country, largely without further hindrances.
However, Trump’s statement on X, formerly known as Twitter, seems to have given fresh impetus to the Awami League Leaders and sympathizers who have openly lent their support to Trump in the world’s most talked about presidential race.
Trump in his message has raised two key crucial issues: The persecution of the Hindus in Bangladesh and an all-out praise of his “good friend Prime Minister Modi”.
If Trump enters the coveted Oval Office again, the Awami League supporters believe there is a hope that Yunus will no more be running the affairs of Bangladesh by the end of this year.
Amid this wishful thinking, the Awami League sycophants think that Modi, who is walking on a tight rope, will help the exiled Sheikh Hasina return to Bangladesh and retake her kingdom.
But it doesn’t stop here. Their wish list also includes that all the leaders and protesters of the Monsoon Revolution will either flee for their safety or land in prison to be prosecuted for treason.
Of course, Yunus will also face treason charges, with his old cases (which the present government has quashed) also reopened. He would certainly be awarded capital punishment and publicly hanged at the Padma Bridge.
The Awami League sympathizers living abroad and others who have been keeping a low profile have taken to social media and threatening those they feel as enemies of the Awami League and Hasina, warning them to face the consequences of supporting the Yunus administration.
What will happen if Kamal Harris wins? There is a common belief that the fate of Awami Leaguers will be sealed forever.
Meanwhile, the Bangladeshi diaspora and those living in the country as a whole are divided over the support to Kamala Harris and Donald Trump.
Two things have to be remembered. Usually, the US foreign policy does not change overnight, like in South Asian countries, unless the issue in question is a challenge to national security and a threat to American citizens, said Ambassador Humayun Kabir who was in Bangladesh’s mission (2007-2009) in Washington DC.
Amid the humanitarian crisis in Gaza or Russia’s invasion of Ukraine and other global issues, Bangladesh is not on the priority agenda to be discussed at the US State Department and policies fine-tuned, Kabir added.
Moreover, There is no possibility of Awami League launching a nationwide anti-government movement. The leaders and their sycophants are busy protecting their looted stash of cash, said political historian and writer Mohiuddin Ahmad.
The Awami League and Chhatra League are demoralized political forces and have lost steam for organizing an effective anti-government movement. They will not be able to stand in a face-off with the tens of thousands of student activists who toppled their 15 years of kleptocratic regime, remarked Ahmad.
Hence, whoever wins the November 5 US presidential election, Washington DC will continue to hold its patience for a transition to democracy in the event of a free, fair and inclusive polls being held in Bangladesh.
Until then, the impatient Awami League’s leaders and cheerleaders will have to hold their breath to return to power through "third-party intervention".
[The writer, Saleem Samadm is an award-winning independent journalist based in Bangladesh. The above article is first published in the Stratheia Policy Journal, Islamabad, Pakistan, 3 November 2024.]
Follow ummid.com WhatsApp Channel for all the latest updates.
Select Language To Read in Urdu, Hindi, Marathi or Arabic.