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Thursday, October 15, 2009 01:52:33 PM, Team ummid.com

ummid.com Exit Poll shows Mufti Ismail has an edge in Malegaon (Central) assembly constituency

After elections come predictions, Congress has an edge: Exit polls:  If the assembly elections in the three states Tuesday were seen as the first major popularity test since the Lok Sabha polls, the Congress is set to consolidate ....Read Full

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Malegaon: The Congress party and Nationalist Congress Party (NCP) might be having an edge over others in the Maharashtra assembly elections.  However in Malegaon, a survey shows, the ruling alliance finds itself deep in trouble.

 

According to ummid.com Exit Poll, Congress candidate and sitting MLA Shaikh Rasheed is out of the race in Malegaon (Central) assembly constituency. Instead of him, Mufti Mohd. Ismail has an edge over his political rivals in the town, the assembly election for which was held on October 13, 2009. More than 90% of the total 2,38,684 voters in this textile town are Muslims.

 

Mufti Ismail is the leader of the ruling political group in the civic body and is fighting the assembly elections for the first time.

 

Based on the voter turnouts in various wards of the city and the opinions of the voters, an extensive survey done by ummid.com on October 13 and the following day, shows Mufti Mohd. Ismail is likely to get more than 50% of the polled votes.

 

Malegaon (Central) assembly constituency, which has 2,38,684 registered voters recorded an impressive 63.3% polling when the elections for 288 assembly constituencies in Maharashtra were held on October 13. Of the total 1,51,088 polled votes, 80,331 are male voters while the females with 70,757 votes are not far behind.

 

ummid.com projections....

ummid.com survey shows, of the total 1,51,088 polled votes, Mufti Mohd Ismail is likely to secure 78000 to 82000 votes whereas sitting Congress MLA Shaikh Rasheed is next to him expecting somewhere between 44000 to 48000 votes. Former minister and veteran socialist leader Nihal Ahmad is way behind his political opponents expecting between 16000 to 20000 votes.

- Projections.

Not the final results.

The ummid.com survey shows Mufti Mohd. Ismail is expected to secure 78000 to 82000 votes - more than 50% of the votes polled on October 13.  Whereas sitting Congress MLA Shaikh Rasheed is next to him expecting somewhere between 44000 to 48000 votes.

 

Former minister and veteran socialist leader Nihal Ahmad, who represented the town on several occasions in the past, is way behind his political opponents expecting between 16000 to 20000 votes.

 

Others including the BJP and BSP candidates are expected to get between 5000 to 7000 votes.

 

Congress candidate Shaikh Rasheed heavily depended on the outer areas dominated by the slums. However, ummid.com survey shows Mufti Ismail succeeded in garnering the supports even from these areas.

 

The projections shown in ummid.com survey are just predictions and trends, and not the final results. The final results will be only available after October 22 when the counting of the votes is scheduled by the Election Commission.

 

Malegaon (Central) witnessed a fierce campaigning in the run up to the October 13 elections. Besides personal attacks on each other, the 2006 and 2008 blasts were top in the list of all contesting political groups, each claiming to be messiah of the Muslim youths detained in connection with the 2006 Malegaon blast.

 

Earlier, the poor handling of the blast cases had cost the ruling Congress party the parliamentary elections held in April 2009 when its strong candidate Amrish Patel lost the Dhule-Malegaon parliamentary seat to a lesser known BJP candidate.

 

The other survey reports may be giving the ruling alliance an edge over others in other parts of the state. In Malegaon, however, ummid.com survey done after the October 13 polling into the Maharashtra assembly elections, though a projection and not the final result, shows that the bomb blasts in the town will prove damaging for the ruling alliance once again.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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Comments:

 

Its really a big surprise. Figures look absolute detracted. Ummid.com news shouldn't really be rolling on what people think.

 

There is a little more than just exit poll where you can always come up with your own perception as editorial comment. We can't be, every time as a formality, submerged by the mental state veto of society.

 

I wish to see Ummid.com hovering over the larger portion of its attendants and readers around the globe.

 

Arif   Shah

Architect, India

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