The Congress party and Nationalist Congress Party (NCP) might
be having an edge over others in the Maharashtra assembly elections.
However in Malegaon, a survey shows, the ruling alliance finds
itself deep in trouble.
According to ummid.com Exit Poll,
Congress candidate and sitting MLA Shaikh Rasheed is out of the race
in Malegaon (Central) assembly constituency. Instead of him, Mufti Mohd. Ismail
has an edge over his political rivals in the town, the assembly election
for which was held on October 13, 2009. More than 90% of the total
2,38,684 voters in this textile town are Muslims.
Mufti Ismail is the leader of the
ruling political group in the civic body and is fighting the
assembly elections for the first time.
Based on the voter turnouts in various
wards of the city and the opinions of the voters, an extensive
survey done by ummid.com on October 13 and the following day, shows
Mufti Mohd. Ismail is likely to get more than 50% of the polled
Malegaon (Central) assembly
constituency, which has 2,38,684 registered voters recorded an
impressive 63.3% polling when the elections for 288 assembly
constituencies in Maharashtra were held on October 13. Of the total
1,51,088 polled votes, 80,331 are male voters while the females with
70,757 votes are not far behind.
ummid.com survey shows,
of the total 1,51,088 polled votes, Mufti Mohd Ismail is likely to
secure 78000 to 82000 votes whereas sitting Congress MLA Shaikh
Rasheed is next to him expecting somewhere between 44000 to 48000
votes. Former minister and veteran socialist leader Nihal Ahmad is
way behind his political opponents expecting between 16000 to 20000
the final results.
The ummid.com survey shows Mufti Mohd. Ismail is expected to secure
78000 to 82000 votes - more than 50% of the votes polled on October
13. Whereas sitting Congress MLA Shaikh Rasheed
is next to him expecting somewhere between 44000 to 48000 votes.
Former minister and veteran socialist
leader Nihal Ahmad, who represented the town on several occasions in
the past, is way behind his political opponents expecting between
16000 to 20000 votes.
Others including the BJP and BSP
candidates are expected to get between 5000 to 7000 votes.
Congress candidate Shaikh Rasheed
heavily depended on the outer areas dominated by the slums. However,
ummid.com survey shows Mufti Ismail succeeded in garnering the
supports even from these areas.
The projections shown in ummid.com
survey are just predictions and trends, and not the final results.
The final results will be only available after October 22 when the
counting of the votes is scheduled by the Election Commission.
Malegaon (Central) witnessed a fierce
campaigning in the run up to the October 13 elections. Besides
personal attacks on each other, the 2006 and 2008 blasts were top in
the list of all contesting political groups, each claiming to be
messiah of the Muslim youths detained in connection with the 2006
Earlier, the poor handling of the
blast cases had cost the ruling Congress party the parliamentary
elections held in April 2009 when its strong candidate Amrish Patel
lost the Dhule-Malegaon parliamentary seat to a lesser known BJP
The other survey reports may be giving the
ruling alliance an edge over others in other parts of the state. In Malegaon,
however, ummid.com survey done after the October 13 polling into the Maharashtra assembly elections, though a projection and not the
final result, shows that the bomb blasts in the town will prove
damaging for the ruling alliance once again.